Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Rogaska had a probability of 13.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Rogaska win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.