Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 22
Feb 22, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Rogaska

Celje
4 - 1
Rogaska

Matko (30', 71'), Diaby (64' og.), Mateo Lovric (69' og.)
Karnicnik (83'), Vrbanec (87')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Prenkpalaj (82')
Kambic (2'), Kregar (55')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Celje and Rogaska.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Last Game: Bravo 0-0 Celje
Sunday, February 18 at 12pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Rogaska

All competitions
Last Game: Rogaska 4-1 Domzale
Saturday, February 17 at 12pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 67.18%. A draw had a probability of 19.1% and a win for Rogaska had a probability of 13.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.06%), while for a Rogaska win it was 0-1 (4.19%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
CeljeDrawRogaska
67.18% (0.206 0.21)19.13% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)13.69% (-0.198 -0.2)
Both teams to score 50.99% (-0.52500000000001 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.11% (-0.413 -0.41)41.89% (0.412 0.41)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.71% (-0.416 -0.42)64.29% (0.416 0.42)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.47% (-0.063999999999993 -0.06)11.53% (0.062999999999999 0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.56% (-0.138 -0.14)36.43% (0.138 0.14)
Rogaska Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.63% (-0.55 -0.55)42.37% (0.55 0.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.25% (-0.477 -0.48)78.75% (0.477 0.48)
Score Analysis
    Celje 67.17%
    Rogaska 13.69%
    Draw 19.13%
CeljeDrawRogaska
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.15 0.15)
1-0 @ 10.55% (0.17 0.17)
2-1 @ 9.79% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 8.21% (0.089 0.09)
3-1 @ 7.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.037 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.81% (-0.026 -0.03)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.059 -0.06)
5-0 @ 1.92% (0.011 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.65% (-0.015 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.036 -0.04)
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 67.17%
1-1 @ 9.06% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.88% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
2-2 @ 4.2% (-0.07 -0.07)
Other @ 0.98%
Total : 19.13%
0-1 @ 4.19% (0.014 0.01)
1-2 @ 3.89% (-0.056 -0.06)
0-2 @ 1.8% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 1.49%
Total : 13.69%

Head to Head
Oct 21, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 13
Rogaska
0-4
Celje

Pirtovsek (24'), Cuic (50'), Satchwell (90+2')
Edmilson (6', 29', 45+6'), Bizjak (90+6')
Kouter (2')
Kouter (24')
Aug 13, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 4
Celje
2-0
Rogaska
Ikwuemesi (59'), Matko (85')
Vuklisevic (43'), Edmilson (63'), Karnicnik (80')

Marcius (41')