Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 33.35% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.36%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 2-1 (7.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for NK Domzale in this match.