Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 14
Oct 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Domzale

Celje
3 - 1
Domzale

Vuklisevic (21'), Popovic (74' pen.), Bajde (89')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Stuparevic (66')
Stuparevic (24'), Hempt (28')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Celje and NK Domzale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Last Game: Rogaska 0-4 Celje
Saturday, October 21 at 2pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

NK Domzale

All competitions
Last Game: Domzale 0-2 Ljubljana
Saturday, October 21 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 22.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.4%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.47%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-2 (5.83%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.

Result
CeljeDrawNK Domzale
55.33% (0.010000000000005 0.01)22.42% (-0.026999999999997 -0.03)22.25% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
Both teams to score 56.97% (0.114 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.64% (0.14100000000001 0.14)42.36% (-0.142 -0.14)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.24% (0.14 0.14)64.76% (-0.14100000000001 -0.14)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8% (0.052999999999997 0.05)15.2% (-0.054 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.17% (0.097999999999999 0.1)43.83% (-0.098999999999997 -0.1)
NK Domzale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.18% (0.093000000000004 0.09)32.81% (-0.092999999999996 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.62% (0.103 0.1)69.38% (-0.105 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Celje 55.33%
    NK Domzale 22.25%
    Draw 22.42%
CeljeDrawNK Domzale
2-1 @ 9.86%
1-0 @ 9.4% (-0.042 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.85% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-1 @ 6.19% (0.011 0.01)
3-0 @ 5.56% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.015 0.02)
4-1 @ 2.92% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.62% (0.0029999999999997 0)
4-2 @ 1.63% (0.01 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.1% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 0.99% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 55.33%
1-1 @ 10.47% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.5% (0.014 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.99% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.28% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.42%
1-2 @ 5.83% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-1 @ 5.56% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.1% (-0.004 -0)
1-3 @ 2.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.04% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.15% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 22.25%

Head to Head
Aug 20, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 5
Domzale
1-2
Celje
Repas (82')
Bobaric (85')
Zec (26'), Svetlin (50')