Celje
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 10
Sep 27, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Stadion Z'dezele
Aluminij

Celje
1 - 3
Aluminij

Kvesic (27' pen.)
Kouter (80'), Karnicnik (83'), Zec (86')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Jagic (67'), Baskera (72'), Jovanovic (88' pen.)
Pecnik (55'), Susso (62'), Baskera (74'), Pridgar (90+5')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Celje and Aluminij.

Form, Standings, Stats

Celje

All competitions
Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Celje 1-0 Radomlje
Saturday, September 23 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Aluminij

All competitions
Last Game: Domzale 2-1 Aluminij
Friday, September 22 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 51.32%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 25.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.37%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-2 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
CeljeDrawAluminij
51.32% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)23.54% (-0.004999999999999 -0)25.14% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
Both teams to score 56.69% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.64% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)44.36% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.26% (0.010000000000005 0.01)66.73% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Celje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)17.32% (-0.0089999999999968 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (0.013999999999996 0.01)47.7% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)
Aluminij Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.57%31.43% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.19% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)67.81% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)
Score Analysis
    Celje 51.32%
    Aluminij 25.14%
    Draw 23.53%
CeljeDrawAluminij
2-1 @ 9.68% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.55% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
2-0 @ 8.37% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-1 @ 5.66% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-0 @ 4.89% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.48% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-0 @ 2.14% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.44% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.85%
Total : 51.32%
1-1 @ 11.04% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.6% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.53%
1-2 @ 6.39% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-1 @ 6.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 3.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.47% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.14%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2023 7.15pm
Gameweek 1
Aluminij
2-2
Celje
Jovanovic (3'), Katusa (80')
Jovanovic (46')
Matko (59'), Bobicanec (89')