Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 39.38%. A win for NK Domzale had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aluminij win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.46%). The likeliest NK Domzale win was 1-0 (8.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.