Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 6
Aug 26, 2023 at 7.15pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Domzale

Maribor
1 - 1
Domzale

Ilicic (45+1' pen.)
Lorber (64'), Guerrico (83'), Guerrico (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sturm (9')
Repas (38'), Dapo (69')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Maribor and NK Domzale.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Rogaska 2-2 Maribor
Sunday, August 20 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Domzale 1-2 Celje
Sunday, August 20 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 57.36%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for NK Domzale had a probability of 21.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 1-0 (8.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.86%), while for a NK Domzale win it was 1-2 (5.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood.

Result
MariborDrawNK Domzale
57.36% (0.541 0.54)21.45% (-0.203 -0.2)21.18% (-0.338 -0.34)
Both teams to score 58.77% (0.204 0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.73% (0.504 0.5)39.27% (-0.504 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.4% (0.524 0.52)61.6% (-0.526 -0.53)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.49% (0.331 0.33)13.51% (-0.332 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.44% (0.66 0.66)40.56% (-0.66 -0.66)
NK Domzale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)32.05% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)68.51% (0.028000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 57.36%
    NK Domzale 21.18%
    Draw 21.45%
MariborDrawNK Domzale
2-1 @ 9.87% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.67% (0.0079999999999991 0.01)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.098000000000001 -0.1)
3-1 @ 6.59% (0.082000000000001 0.08)
3-0 @ 5.79% (0.075 0.08)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.043 0.04)
4-1 @ 3.3% (0.081 0.08)
4-0 @ 2.9% (0.073 0.07)
4-2 @ 1.88% (0.044 0.04)
5-1 @ 1.32% (0.047 0.05)
5-0 @ 1.16% (0.042 0.04)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 57.36%
1-1 @ 9.86% (-0.119 -0.12)
2-2 @ 5.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.103 -0.1)
3-3 @ 1.42% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 21.45%
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-1 @ 4.93% (-0.121 -0.12)
0-2 @ 2.8% (-0.071 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.13% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.13% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.06% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 21.18%

rhs 2.0


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