Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celje win with a probability of 41.35%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 33.69% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celje win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.77%) and 0-2 (6.61%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 2-1 (7.84%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celje would win this match.