Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rogaska win with a probability of 42.02%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 32.45% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rogaska win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.06%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-0 (8.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Rogaska in this match.