/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Fmarlog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F29%2Falulog.png)
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Josip Ilicic
9'
-
Arnel Jakupovic
24'
-
Mark Strajnar
29'
-
Arnel Jakupovic
32'
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Hillal Soudani
37'
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Hillal Soudani
68'
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Arnel Jakupovic
80'
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Tine Cuk
88'
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Gasper Jovan
7'
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Aleksandar Zeljkovic
21'
Maribor vs Aluminij - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 63.92%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Aluminij had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.51%) and 2-1 (9.91%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.61%), while for an Aluminij win it was 0-1 (4.66%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.
Result
Maribor
63.92%
▼
(-0.67)
Draw
20.31%
▲
(+0.31)
Aluminij
15.77%
▲
(+0.36)
Both Teams to Score:
52.28%
▼
(-0.20)
Goals
Over 2.5
57.14%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 2.5
42.86%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 3.5
34.74%
▼
(-0.69)
Under 3.5
65.26%
▲
(+0.69)
Over 4.5
18.07%
▼
(-0.52)
Under 4.5
81.93%
▲
(+0.51)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5
87.28%
▼
(-0.40)
Under 0.5
12.72%
▲
(+0.40)
Over 1.5
61.05%
▼
(-0.83)
Under 1.5
38.95%
▲
(+0.83)
Aluminij Goals
Over 0.5
59.9%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 0.5
40.1%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 1.5
23.26%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 1.5
76.74%
▼
(-0.04)
Score analysis
Maribor
63.91%
Draw
20.31%
Aluminij
15.77%
Maribor
2-0
@
10.84%
1-0 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 63.91%
1-0 @ 10.51% ▲ (+0.17)
2-1 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 7.45% ▼ (-0.12)
3-1 @ 6.81% ▼ (-0.10)
4-0 @ 3.84% ▼ (-0.12)
4-1 @ 3.51% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.11% ▼ (-0.05)
4-2 @ 1.6% ▼ (-0.05)
5-0 @ 1.59% ▼ (-0.08)
5-1 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.07)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 63.91%
Draw
1-1
@
9.61%
▲
(+0.16)
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 20.31%
0-0 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 4.53% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 20.31%
Aluminij
0-1
@
4.66%
▲
(+0.15)
1-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.77%
1-2 @ 4.39% ▲ (+0.08)
0-2 @ 2.13% ▲ (+0.07)
2-3 @ 1.38% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 1.87%
Total : 15.77%