Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aluminij win with a probability of 39.04%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aluminij win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.5%) and 0-2 (6.56%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-0 (8.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.