Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for NK Olimpija Ljubljana had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest NK Olimpija Ljubljana win was 1-2 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.