Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Celje had a probability of 28.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.81%) and 2-0 (7%). The likeliest Celje win was 1-2 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
Maribor	Draw	Celje
48.13% ( 0.21)	23.08% ( -0.02)	28.78% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 61.54% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.6% (

-0.02)

39.39% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.26% (

-0.02)

61.73% (

0.02)

Maribor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.34% (

0.07)

16.65% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.5% (

0.13)

46.5% (

-0.13)

Celje Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.83% (

-0.14)

26.16% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.75% (

-0.18)

61.24% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Maribor 48.13%

Celje 28.78%

Draw 23.08%

Maribor	Draw	Celje
2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.61% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.18% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 1.88% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.69% ( 0) 5-1 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.41% Total : 48.13%	1-1 @ 10.47% 2-2 @ 6.29% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.08%	1-2 @ 7.02% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 5.84% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 3.92% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.14% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.81% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.31% Total : 28.78%