Maribor
Slovenian PrvaLiga | Gameweek 10
Sep 28, 2023 at 4.30pm UK
Ljudski vrt
Radomlje

Maribor
3 - 1
Radomlje

Bozic (50'), Karic (58'), Castro (66')
Kolar (48'), Lausic (56'), Castro (66'), Vrhovec (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sosic (22')
Korun (24'), Krolo (33')
Coverage of the Slovenian PrvaLiga clash between Maribor and Radomlje.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Maribor 0-1 Koper
Sunday, September 24 at 7.15pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga
Last Game: Celje 1-0 Radomlje
Saturday, September 23 at 4.30pm in Slovenian PrvaLiga

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 57.74%. A draw had a probability of 21.9% and a win for Radomlje had a probability of 20.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.69%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.26%), while for a Radomlje win it was 1-2 (5.44%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Maribor would win this match.

Result
MariborDrawRadomlje
57.74% (-0.415 -0.41)21.9% (0.145 0.15)20.36% (0.266 0.27)
Both teams to score 55.89% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.53% (-0.289 -0.29)42.46% (0.285 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.13% (-0.288 -0.29)64.86% (0.28400000000001 0.28)
Maribor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.54% (-0.229 -0.23)14.45% (0.224 0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.58% (-0.44 -0.44)42.41% (0.436 0.44)
Radomlje Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.33% (0.101 0.1)34.66% (-0.104 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.61% (0.108 0.11)71.39% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Maribor 57.74%
    Radomlje 20.36%
    Draw 21.9%
MariborDrawRadomlje
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-0 @ 9.69% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 9.37% (-0.032 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.4% (-0.056 -0.06)
3-0 @ 6.04% (-0.07 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.39% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.1% (-0.053 -0.05)
4-0 @ 2.92% (-0.057 -0.06)
4-2 @ 1.64% (-0.023 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.2% (-0.031 -0.03)
5-0 @ 1.13% (-0.032 -0.03)
Other @ 2.92%
Total : 57.74%
1-1 @ 10.26% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.011 0.01)
0-0 @ 5.01% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.9%
1-2 @ 5.44% (0.055 0.05)
0-1 @ 5.31% (0.082 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.81% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 1.92% (0.025 0.03)
2-3 @ 1.86% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 0.99% (0.021 0.02)
Other @ 2.03%
Total : 20.36%

Head to Head
Jul 23, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 1
Radomlje
0-4
Maribor

Hrvoj (61')
Jakupovic (28', 36', 62'), Repas (88')