Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Maribor win with a probability of 42.23%. A win for Koper had a probability of 31.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Maribor win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Koper win was 1-0 (8.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.