Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NS Mura win with a probability of 46.26%. A win for Aluminij had a probability of 28.31% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a NS Mura win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.24%) and 0-2 (8.12%). The likeliest Aluminij win was 1-0 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.