Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for NS Mura had a probability of 30.81% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.14%) and 0-2 (7.26%). The likeliest NS Mura win was 1-0 (7.53%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.