Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a NK Domzale win with a probability of 37.86%. A win for Rogaska had a probability of 36.87% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a NK Domzale win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest Rogaska win was 0-1 (8.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.