Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 18
Aug 18, 2024 at 4pm UK
Dnipro Arena
Shakhtar Donetsk

Livyi Bereh
0 - 1
Shakhtar


Dedukh (61'), Sokolov (80'), Mashchenko (87'), Banada (90+2'), Synytsia (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Sikan (63')
de Sousa Lemos (90+1')
Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Livyi Bereh and Shakhtar Donetsk.

Form, Standings, Stats

Livyi Bereh

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Livyi Bereh 0-3 Vorskla
Friday, August 9 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions
Ukrainian Premier League
Last Game: Shakhtar 0-1 Polissya
Sunday, August 11 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Livyi Bereh had a probability of 20.31%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Livyi Bereh win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Livyi BerehDrawShakhtar Donetsk
20.31% (-0.178 -0.18)21.77% (0.107 0.11)57.91% (0.064 0.06)
Both teams to score 56.28% (-0.676 -0.68)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.08% (-0.756 -0.76)41.91% (0.749 0.75)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.68% (-0.766 -0.77)64.31% (0.75999999999999 0.76)
Livyi Bereh Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.6% (-0.611 -0.61)34.39% (0.604 0.6)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.9% (-0.656 -0.66)71.1% (0.649 0.65)
Shakhtar Donetsk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.78% (-0.23400000000001 -0.23)14.21% (0.227 0.23)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.05% (-0.45 -0.45)41.95% (0.444 0.44)
Score Analysis
    Livyi Bereh 20.31%
    Shakhtar Donetsk 57.91%
    Draw 21.76%
Livyi BerehDrawShakhtar Donetsk
2-1 @ 5.43% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-0 @ 5.22% (0.09 0.09)
2-0 @ 2.79% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 1.93% (-0.047 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.061 -0.06)
3-0 @ 0.99% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 20.31%
1-1 @ 10.17% (0.09 0.09)
2-2 @ 5.3% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-0 @ 4.89% (0.162 0.16)
3-3 @ 1.23% (-0.051 -0.05)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 21.76%
1-2 @ 9.93% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
0-1 @ 9.54% (0.241 0.24)
0-2 @ 9.3% (0.161 0.16)
1-3 @ 6.46% (-0.048 -0.05)
0-3 @ 6.05% (0.056 0.06)
2-3 @ 3.45% (-0.083 -0.08)
1-4 @ 3.15% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-4 @ 2.95% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.68% (-0.054 -0.05)
1-5 @ 1.23% (-0.029 -0.03)
0-5 @ 1.15% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 57.91%