Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 57.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Livyi Bereh had a probability of 20.31%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (9.3%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.17%), while for a Livyi Bereh win it was 2-1 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.