Champions League
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Kerem Akturkoglu
13'
-
Fredrik Aursnes
23'
-
Angel di Maria
52'
-
Alexander Bah
75'
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Orkun Kokcu
84'
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Javi Serrano
70'
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Jose Gimenez
83'
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Reinildo Mandava
83'
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Angel Correa
90'+5'
Benfica vs Atletico Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Benfica win with a probability of 49.47%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Benfica win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.57%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (6.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.29%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Benfica would win this match.
Result
Benfica
49.47%
▼
(-0.34)
Draw
24%
▼
(-0.34)
Atletico Madrid
26.52%
▲
(+0.67)
Both Teams to Score:
56.46%
▲
(+1.73)
Goals
Over 2.5
54.73%
▲
(+2.00)
Under 2.5
45.27%
▼
(-2.00)
Over 3.5
32.39%
▲
(+1.89)
Under 3.5
67.61%
▼
(-1.89)
Over 4.5
16.35%
▲
(+1.33)
Under 4.5
83.64%
▼
(-1.34)
Benfica Goals
Over 0.5
81.62%
▲
(+0.64)
Under 0.5
18.38%
▼
(-0.64)
Over 1.5
50.49%
▲
(+1.08)
Under 1.5
49.51%
▼
(-1.08)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5
69.18%
▲
(+1.59)
Under 0.5
30.82%
▼
(-1.59)
Over 1.5
32.9%
▲
(+1.83)
Under 1.5
67.1%
▼
(-1.83)
Score analysis
Benfica
49.48%
Draw
24%
Atletico Madrid
26.52%
Benfica
1-0
@
9.6%
▼
(-0.64)
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.37)
3-1 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.20)
4-1 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 49.48%
2-1 @ 9.57%
2-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.37)
3-1 @ 5.4% ▲ (+0.11)
3-0 @ 4.59% ▼ (-0.11)
3-2 @ 3.18% ▲ (+0.20)
4-1 @ 2.29% ▲ (+0.10)
4-0 @ 1.94% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.35% ▲ (+0.11)
Other @ 3.44%
Total : 49.48%
Draw
1-1
@
11.29%
▼
(-0.24)
0-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.50)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24%
0-0 @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.50)
2-2 @ 5.63% ▲ (+0.24)
3-3 @ 1.25% ▲ (+0.13)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24%
Atletico Madrid
0-1
@
6.67%
▼
(-0.28)
1-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.19)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 26.52%
1-2 @ 6.65% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 3.92% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.61% ▲ (+0.17)
2-3 @ 2.21% ▲ (+0.19)
0-3 @ 1.54% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 26.52%