La Liga Gameweek 8
Atletico
Sep 29, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Madrid
  • Robin Le Normand 63' yellowcard
  • Conor Gallagher 70' yellowcard
  • Julian Alvarez 75' yellowcard
  • Angel Correa 90'+6' goal
  • Marcos Llorente 90'+9' redcard
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 40'
  • goal Eder Militao 64'

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Reaction

News

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 26, 2024 8.00pm
Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Atletico
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alexander Sorloth

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Sep 24, 2024 8.00pm
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Alaves
Goals scored
78
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 37.88%. A win for Real Madrid had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.39%) and 2-0 (6.19%). The likeliest Real Madrid win was 0-1 (8.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result

Atletico Madrid 37.88% ▼ (-0.13)
Draw 25.59% ▼ (-0.10)
Real Madrid 36.53% ▲ (+0.22)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.66% ▲ (+0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.65% ▲ (+0.43)
Under 2.5 48.34% ▼ (-0.43)
Over 3.5 29.51% ▲ (+0.39)
Under 3.5 70.48% ▼ (-0.39)
Over 4.5 14.33% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 4.5 85.66% ▼ (-0.27)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 74.98% ▲ (+0.13)
Under 0.5 25.02% ▼ (-0.13)
Over 1.5 40.32% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 1.5 59.68% ▼ (-0.18)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 74.23% ▲ (+0.33)
Under 0.5 25.76% ▼ (-0.33)
Over 1.5 39.29% ▲ (+0.44)
Under 1.5 60.7% ▼ (-0.44)

Score analysis

Atletico Madrid 37.88%
Draw 25.58%
Real Madrid 36.53%
Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 8.93% ▼ (-0.13)
2-1 @ 8.39% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.19% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 3.88% ▲ (+0.02)
3-0 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.63% ▲ (+0.04)
4-1 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 3.66%
Total : 37.88%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.11% ▼ (-0.06)
0-0 @ 6.45% ▼ (-0.12)
2-2 @ 5.69% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.19% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 25.58%
Real Madrid
0-1 @ 8.74% ▼ (-0.08)
1-2 @ 8.21% ▲ (+0.04)
0-2 @ 5.93% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 3.71% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.68% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 2.57% ▲ (+0.05)
1-4 @ 1.26% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 36.53%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
Feb 4, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico
  • Brahim Diaz 20' goal
  • yellowcard Saul Niguez 37'
  • yellowcard Mario Hermoso 38'
  • yellowcard Pablo Barrios 85'
  • goal Marcos Llorente 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Memphis Depay 90'+5'
Copa del Rey
Atletico
Jan 18, 2024 8.30pm
4
2
HT : 1 1
ET Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Madrid
  • Samuel Lino 39' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 57' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 58' yellowcard
  • Mario Hermoso 68' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo De Paul 78' yellowcard
  • Koke 80' yellowcard
  • Diego Simeone 83' yellowcard
  • Antoine Griezmann 100' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 101' yellowcard
  • Axel Witsel 113' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Riquelme 119' goal
  • yellowcard Vinicius Junior 45'
  • goal Jan Oblak 45'+1' (OG)
  • yellowcard Eduardo Camavinga 56'
  • yellowcard Brahim Diaz 68'
  • goal Joselu 82'
  • yellowcard Aurelien Tchouameni 85'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 87'
  • yellowcard Dani Carvajal 89'
Supercopa de Espana
Real Madrid
Jan 10, 2024 7.00pm
5
3
HT : 2 2
ET Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
Atletico
  • Antonio Rudiger 20' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 29' goal
  • Dani Carvajal 85' goal
  • Joselu 116' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 120'+2' goal
  • Brahim Diaz 120'+3' yellowcard
  • goal Mario Hermoso 6'
  • goal Antoine Griezmann 37'
  • goal Antonio Rudiger 78' (OG)
La Liga Gameweek 6
Atletico
Sep 24, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
Real Madrid
  • Alvaro Morata 4' goal
  • Antoine Griezmann 18' goal
  • Alvaro Morata 46' goal
  • Jose Gimenez 45'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Toni Kroos 35'
  • yellowcard Luka Modric 45'
  • yellowcard Ferland Mendy 67'
  • yellowcard Jude Bellingham 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Real Madrid
Feb 25, 2023 5.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Atletico
  • Alvaro 85' goal
  • goal Jose Gimenez 78'
Copa del Rey
Real Madrid
Jan 26, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabéu
Atletico
  • Rodrygo 79' goal
  • Karim Benzema 103' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 120'+1' goal
  • goal Alvaro Morata 19'

Form Data

Celta Vigo 0 - 1 Atletico
Rayo Vallecano 1 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 2 - 1 RB Leipzig
Atletico 3 - 0 Valencia
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Atletico
Atletico 0 - 0 Espanyol
Real Madrid 3 - 2 Alaves
Real Madrid 4 - 1 Espanyol
Real Madrid 3 - 1 Stuttgart
Real Sociedad 0 - 2 Real Madrid
Real Madrid 0 - 0 Monaco
Real Madrid 2 - 0 Betis

Build-up

News
Predicted Lineups