La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 4

Aug 31, 2024 at 6pm UK

San Mames Barria

Athletic Bilbao
0 - 1
Atletico

Williams (15'), Alvarez (34'), Sancet (35')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Correa (90+2')
Koke (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Atletico Madrid, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Athletic Bilbao

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 1-0 Valencia
Wednesday, August 28 at 6pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Atletico Madrid

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Atletico 0-0 Espanyol
Wednesday, August 28 at 8.30pm in La Liga

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.76%. A win for Atletico Madrid had a probability of 34.1% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.97%). The likeliest Atletico Madrid win was 0-1 (10.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
38.76% ( -0.44)	27.15% ( 0.39)	34.1% ( 0.06)

Both teams to score 50.25% (

-1.22)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.88% (

-1.54)

55.12% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.63% (

-1.29)

76.37% (

1.29)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32% (

-0.98)

27.68% (

0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76% (

-1.27)

63.24% (

1.28)

Atletico Madrid Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.49% (

-0.73)

30.51% (

0.74)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.27% (

-0.88)

66.74% (

0.89)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 38.75%

Atletico Madrid 34.09%

Draw 27.14%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Atletico Madrid
1-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.35) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 6.97% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.16) 3-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 0.96% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 38.75%	1-1 @ 12.87% ( 0.16) 0-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.5) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( -0.18) Other @ 0.92% Total : 27.14%	0-1 @ 10.02% ( 0.39) 1-2 @ 7.64% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 5.95% ( 0.12) 1-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.36% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.16% Total : 34.09%