Club Friendlies 3
Aug 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Villa Park
We said: Aston Villa 1-1 Athletic Bilbao
Following some experimentation in the States, Aston Villa are now set to take their final pair of friendlies seriously, as a new Premier League season nears. In Athletic Club, though, the Villans will face tough opposition, so they may have to settle for a draw.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.38%. A win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 34.84% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Athletic Bilbao win was 1-2 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.58%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result |
Aston Villa | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
40.38% ( 0.11) | 24.77% ( 0.03) | 34.84% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 58.32% ( -0.11) |
55.17% ( -0.13) | 44.83% ( 0.13) |
32.82% ( -0.13) | 67.18% ( 0.13) |
77.84% ( -0) | 22.16% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.45% ( -0) | 55.55% ( 0) |
74.92% ( -0.14) | 25.08% ( 0.14) |