Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 48.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.6% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 24.59%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.48%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletic Bilbao in this match.

Result
Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Eibar
48.82% ( 0.01)	26.58% ( 0.09)	24.59% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 46.86% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.97% (

-0.37)

57.03% (

0.37)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.08% (

-0.3)

77.92% (

0.3)

Athletic Bilbao Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.58% (

-0.15)

23.42% (

0.15)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.58% (

-0.22)

57.42% (

0.22)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.19% (

-0.29)

38.81% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.46% (

-0.27)

75.54% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Athletic Bilbao 48.82%

Eibar 24.59%

Draw 26.57%

Athletic Bilbao	Draw	Eibar
1-0 @ 13.19% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.06% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 4.63% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.39% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 2.08% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.68% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.63% Total : 48.82%	1-1 @ 12.48% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 9.09% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.71% Total : 26.57%	0-1 @ 8.6% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.07% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.28% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 24.59%