Spartak Trnava0 - 3Aston Villa
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, May 18 at 4pm in Slovak First Football League
Wednesday, July 17 at 7.30pm in Club Friendlies 3
We said: Spartak Trnava 1-2 Aston Villa
Spartak Trnava are much further ahead in their preparations, and this has the potential to be a tricky match for Villa. However, we are expecting Emery's side to triumph in order to make it back-to-back successes in their opening two pre-season fixtures. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 38.29%. A win for Spartak Trnava had a probability of 36.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.46%) and 0-2 (6.15%). The likeliest Spartak Trnava win was 1-0 (8.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.
Result | ||
Spartak Trnava | Draw | Aston Villa |
36.39% ( 0.04) | 25.32% ( 0.01) | 38.29% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 56.59% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.85% ( -0.03) | 47.14% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.62% ( -0.03) | 69.38% ( 0.03) |
Spartak Trnava Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.71% ( 0.01) | 25.28% ( -0.01) |