Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Aston Villa
57.58% ( -0.01)	21.77% ( 0)	20.64% ( 0)

Both teams to score 56.79% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.51% (

-0.02)

41.48% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.11% (

-0.02)

63.88% (

0.02)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.82% (

-0.01)

14.18% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.12% (

-0.02)

41.87% (

0.02)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.17% (

-0.01)

33.82% (

0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.51% (

-0.01)

70.49% (

0.01)

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 57.58%

Aston Villa 20.64%

Draw 21.77%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.92% 1-0 @ 9.37% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 9.15% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( -0) 4-1 @ 3.15% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.91% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.23% ( -0) 5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.08% Total : 57.58%	1-1 @ 10.15% 2-2 @ 5.38% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.8% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 21.77%	1-2 @ 5.5% ( 0) 0-1 @ 5.2% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.82% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.99% 2-3 @ 1.94% 0-3 @ 1.02% Other @ 2.17% Total : 20.64%