Club Friendlies 3
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-
Andre Silva
17'
-
Andre Silva
17'
-
Lois Openda
27'
-
Lois Openda
41'
-
Lois Openda
41'
-
Diego Carlos
27'
-
Diego Carlos
27'
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Diego Carlos
42'
-
Diego Carlos
42'
RB Leipzig vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 57.58%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 20.64%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.37%) and 2-0 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.15%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
Result
RB Leipzig
57.58%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
21.77%
▲
(+0.01)
Aston Villa
20.64%
▲
(+0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
56.79%
▼
(-0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5
58.51%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 2.5
41.48%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
36.11%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 3.5
63.88%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 4.5
19.1%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 4.5
80.89%
▲
(+0.02)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5
85.82%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 0.5
14.18%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
58.12%
▼
(-0.03)
Under 1.5
41.87%
▲
(+0.02)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
66.17%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
33.82%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
29.51%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
70.49%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
RB Leipzig
57.58%
Draw
21.77%
Aston Villa
20.64%
RB Leipzig
2-1
@
9.92%
1-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 57.58%
1-0 @ 9.37% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 9.15% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.46% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.96% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.5% ▼ (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.15% ▼ (-0.01)
4-0 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.71% ▼ (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.23% ▼ (-0.01)
5-0 @ 1.14% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 57.58%
Draw
1-1
@
10.15%
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.77%
2-2 @ 5.38% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.8% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 21.77%
Aston Villa
1-2
@
5.5%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 20.64%
0-1 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 2.82% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 1.99%
2-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 20.64%
Head to Head
Pre-Season Friendlies
-
Yussuf Poulsen
28'
-
Conor Hourihane
16'
-
Conor Hourihane
82'
-
John McGinn
89'