Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 50.98%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.14% and a draw had a probability of 19.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.24%) and 2-3 (5.4%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.