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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 64.8%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 15.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.05%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (4.43%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that RB Leipzig would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 64.8% | 19.43% ( | 15.77% ( |
| Both teams to score 55.37% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.2% | 38.8% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.89% ( | 61.11% ( |
| RB Leipzig Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.73% ( | 11.27% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.13% | 35.87% |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.4% ( | 37.59% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.62% | 74.37% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RB Leipzig | Draw | Wolfsburg |
| 2-0 @ 10.09% 2-1 @ 9.88% 1-0 @ 9.25% 3-0 @ 7.35% 3-1 @ 7.19% ( 4-0 @ 4.01% 4-1 @ 3.92% 3-2 @ 3.52% 4-2 @ 1.92% 5-0 @ 1.75% 5-1 @ 1.71% Other @ 4.21% Total : 64.79% | 1-1 @ 9.05% ( 2-2 @ 4.83% 0-0 @ 4.24% 3-3 @ 1.15% Other @ 0.17% Total : 19.43% | 1-2 @ 4.43% 0-1 @ 4.14% 0-2 @ 2.03% 2-3 @ 1.58% ( 1-3 @ 1.44% Other @ 2.15% Total : 15.77% |