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Bundesliga | Gameweek 33
May 11, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
Werder Bremen logo

RB Leipzig
1 - 1
Werder Bremen

Sesko (61')
Henrichs (28')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Seiwald (35' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between RB Leipzig and Werder Bremen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 79.36%. A draw had a probability of 12.8% and a win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 7.86%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.72%) and 2-1 (8.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.79%), while for a Werder Bremen win it was 1-2 (2.42%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
79.36% (-0.14 -0.14)12.79% (0.074999999999999 0.07)7.86% (0.061000000000001 0.06)
Both teams to score 53.43% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
71.96% (-0.161 -0.16)28.05% (0.159 0.16)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
51.2% (-0.2 -0.2)48.8% (0.197 0.2)
RB Leipzig Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
94.48% (-0.058000000000007 -0.06)5.52% (0.055 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
78.48% (-0.161 -0.16)21.52% (0.157 0.16)
Werder Bremen Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.56% (0.017000000000003 0.02)43.45% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.34% (0.015000000000001 0.02)79.67% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    RB Leipzig 79.36%
    Werder Bremen 7.86%
    Draw 12.79%
RB LeipzigDrawWerder Bremen
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
3-0 @ 9.72% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.39% (0.026 0.03)
3-1 @ 8.1% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
4-0 @ 7.03% (-0.03 -0.03)
1-0 @ 6.95% (0.042 0.04)
4-1 @ 5.86% (-0.022 -0.02)
5-0 @ 4.07% (-0.032 -0.03)
5-1 @ 3.4% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.38% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 2.44% (-0.008 -0.01)
6-0 @ 1.97% (-0.022 -0.02)
6-1 @ 1.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-2 @ 1.42% (-0.0090000000000001 -0.01)
Other @ 4.93%
Total : 79.36%
1-1 @ 5.79% (0.037999999999999 0.04)
2-2 @ 3.5% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 2.4% (0.023 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.94% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 12.79%
1-2 @ 2.42% (0.017 0.02)
0-1 @ 2% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 0.97% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 7.86%

How you voted: RB Leipzig vs Werder Bremen

RB Leipzig
81.7%
Draw
13.3%
Werder Bremen
5.0%
60
Head to Head
Dec 19, 2023 5.30pm
Gameweek 16
Werder Bremen
1-1
RB Leipzig
Njinmah (75')
Gross (59'), Bittencourt (66'), Njinmah (84'), Ducksch (90+1')
Openda (47')
Kampl (68'), Haidara (90+1')
May 14, 2023 4.30pm
Nov 12, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 15
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Gross (57')
Silva (13'), Schlager (71')
Apr 30, 2021 7.30pm
Semi-Finals
Werder Bremen
1-2
RB Leipzig
Bittencourt (105+1')
Hee-chan (93'), Forsberg (120+1')
Haidara (35'), Kampl (99'), Gulacsi (101')
Apr 10, 2021 2.30pm
Gameweek 28
Werder Bremen
1-4
RB Leipzig
Rashica (61' pen.)
Olmo (23'), Sorloth (32', 41'), Sabitzer (63')