MX23RW : Thursday, April 3 01:27:43| >> :60:21:21:
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Azteca
Aston Villa logo

America
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Hernandez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

(79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly between Club America and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 America
Thursday, August 1 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, August 1 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Club America 2-2 Aston Villa

Although they have a head start in terms of match-fitness, America have been vulnerable at the back since returning to action; therefore, an Aston Villa squad featuring several fresh faces - but still missing some international stars - can finish their US trip with a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawAston Villa
49.76% (-0.411 -0.41) 23.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 26.9% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 59.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.07 -0.07)41.94% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (-0.07 -0.07)64.35% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.178 -0.18)17.01% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.318 -0.32)47.13% (0.321 0.32)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.215 0.22)28.79% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.267 0.27)64.64% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Club America 49.76%
    Aston Villa 26.9%
    Draw 23.33%
Club AmericaDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 49.76%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 26.9%

How you voted: America vs Aston Villa

Club America
Draw
Aston Villa
Club America
13.0%
Draw
17.4%
Aston Villa
69.6%
23
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool29217169274270
2Arsenal301710355253061
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest30176750351557
4Chelsea29147853371649
5Manchester CityMan City29146955401548
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle2814594738947
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton29121164842647
8Fulham3012994440445
9Aston Villa2912984145-445
10Bournemouth29128948361244
11Brentford29125125045541
12Crystal Palace2810993633339
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd30107133741-437
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs291041555431234
15Everton2971393236-434
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3097143350-1734
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3085174158-1729
18Ipswich TownIpswich2938182862-3417
19Leicester CityLeicester2945202565-4017
20Southampton2923242170-499


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