Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club America	Draw	Aston Villa
49.76% ( -0.41)	23.33% ( 0.08)	26.9% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 59.1% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.05% (

-0.07)

41.94% (

0.07)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.65% (

-0.07)

64.35% (

0.07)

Club America Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.99% (

-0.18)

17.01% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.86% (

-0.32)

47.13% (

0.32)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.21% (

0.22)

28.79% (

-0.21)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.36% (

0.27)

64.64% (

-0.26)

Score Analysis

Club America 49.76%

Aston Villa 26.9%

Draw 23.33%

Club America	Draw	Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.67% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 7.68% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 5.65% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.52% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.5% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.01% ( -0.04) 4-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.06% Total : 49.76%	1-1 @ 10.8% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.96% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.46% ( 0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 23.33%	1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 6.1% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.79% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 2.47% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.45% Total : 26.9%