MX23RW : Sunday, April 6 22:21:24| >> :60:111:111:
Club Friendlies 3
Aug 3, 2024 at 10.30pm UK
Estadio Azteca
Aston Villa logo

America
1 - 0
Aston Villa

Hernandez (78')
FT(HT: 0-0)

(79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's friendly between Club America and Aston Villa, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Chelsea 3-0 America
Thursday, August 1 at 12.30am in Club Friendlies 1
Last Game: RB Leipzig 2-0 Aston Villa
Thursday, August 1 at 1am in Club Friendlies 3

We said: Club America 2-2 Aston Villa

Although they have a head start in terms of match-fitness, America have been vulnerable at the back since returning to action; therefore, an Aston Villa squad featuring several fresh faces - but still missing some international stars - can finish their US trip with a score draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Club America win with a probability of 49.76%. A win for Aston Villa had a probability of 26.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Club America win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.67%) and 2-0 (7.68%). The likeliest Aston Villa win was 1-2 (6.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Club America would win this match.

Result
Club AmericaDrawAston Villa
49.76% (-0.411 -0.41) 23.33% (0.076000000000001 0.08) 26.9% (0.339 0.34)
Both teams to score 59.1% (0.049999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.05% (-0.07 -0.07)41.94% (0.072000000000003 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.65% (-0.07 -0.07)64.35% (0.072999999999993 0.07)
Club America Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.99% (-0.178 -0.18)17.01% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.86% (-0.318 -0.32)47.13% (0.321 0.32)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.21% (0.215 0.22)28.79% (-0.212 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.36% (0.267 0.27)64.64% (-0.26300000000001 -0.26)
Score Analysis
    Club America 49.76%
    Aston Villa 26.9%
    Draw 23.33%
Club AmericaDrawAston Villa
2-1 @ 9.57% (-0.026999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.67% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
2-0 @ 7.68% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-1 @ 5.65% (-0.05 -0.05)
3-0 @ 4.54% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-2 @ 3.52% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.5% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 2.01% (-0.042 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.56% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 4.06%
Total : 49.76%
1-1 @ 10.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.96% (0.019 0.02)
0-0 @ 4.9% (0.016 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.46% (0.0049999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 23.33%
1-2 @ 6.72% (0.061 0.06)
0-1 @ 6.1% (0.056 0.06)
0-2 @ 3.8% (0.057 0.06)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.042 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.023 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.58% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 26.9%

How you voted: America vs Aston Villa

Club America
Draw
Aston Villa
Club America
13.0%
Draw
17.4%
Aston Villa
69.6%
23
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
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1Liverpool31227272304273
2Arsenal311711356263062
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest31176851371457
4Chelsea31158854371753
5Manchester CityMan City31157957401752
6Aston Villa3114984646051
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle29155949391050
8Fulham3113994742548
9Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton31121184947247
10Bournemouth311291051401145
11Crystal Palace30111093935443
12Brentford31126135147442
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd31108133741-438
14Tottenham HotspurSpurs311141658451337
15Everton31714103338-535
16West Ham UnitedWest Ham3198143552-1735
17Wolverhampton WanderersWolves3195174359-1632
18Ipswich TownIpswich3148193165-3420
19Leicester CityLeicester3045212567-4217
20Southampton3124252374-5110


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