Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 37.57%. A win for Club America had a probability of 36.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.36%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Club America win was 0-1 (8.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Tigres in this match.