Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 14.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.

Result
Tigres	Draw	Necaxa
66.77% ( 0.84)	18.95% ( -0.39)	14.29% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 53.27% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.29% (

0.81)

39.71% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.93% (

0.83)

62.07% (

-0.83)

Tigres Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

88.98% (

0.46)

11.02% (

-0.45)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

64.69% (

0.99)

35.31% (

-0.99)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.86% (

-0.12)

40.14% (

0.12)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.22% (

-0.11)

76.78% (

0.11)

Score Analysis

Tigres 66.76%

Necaxa 14.29%

Draw 18.95%

Tigres	Draw	Necaxa
2-0 @ 10.75% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.19) 3-0 @ 7.91% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.16) 4-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.13) 3-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.92% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.82% ( 0.05) 5-1 @ 1.76% ( 0.09) Other @ 4.17% Total : 66.76%	1-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.2) 2-2 @ 4.48% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.42% ( -0.17) 3-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 18.95%	1-2 @ 4.06% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 4.04% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 1.84% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.24% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.74% Total : 14.29%