Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 66.77%. A draw had a probability of 18.9% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 14.29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 1-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.9%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Tigres would win this match.