Liga MX
May 6, 2024 at 3.06am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
2 - 1
Necaxa

Bautista (79', 79'), Rondon (83' pen., 83' pen.)
Pedraza (10'), Pedraza (10'), Deossa (45+2'), Deossa (45+2'), Oliveros (83'), Idrissi (84'), Idrissi (87'), Idrissi (87')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Garnica (90+6', 90+6')
Paradela (26'), Paradela (26'), Arce (32'), Arce (32'), Cambindo (54'), Cambindo (54'), Garnica (82'), Garnica (82'), Oliveros (84'), Oliveros (87')
Fentanes (3'), Fentanes (11')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 0-0 Pumas (3-5 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 4.15am in Liga MX

Necaxa

All competitions
Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Queretaro (3-2 pen.)
Friday, May 3 at 2am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 62.64%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 17.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.85%) and 1-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.41%), while for a Necaxa win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Pachuca in this match.

Result
PachucaDrawNecaxa
62.64% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)20.2% (0.004999999999999 0)17.16% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)
Both teams to score 55.81% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)39.73% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.91% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)62.09% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.86% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)12.13% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.28% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)37.72% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.51% (0.0020000000000024 0)36.48% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.72% (0.0019999999999989 0)73.27% (0.0020000000000095 0)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 62.64%
    Necaxa 17.16%
    Draw 20.2%
PachucaDrawNecaxa
2-1 @ 9.93%
2-0 @ 9.85% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.34% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 6.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 6.92% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
4-1 @ 3.68% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 3.65% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
3-2 @ 3.52%
4-2 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.55% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 62.64%
1-1 @ 9.41% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-2 @ 5.01%
0-0 @ 4.43% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 1.18%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 20.2%
1-2 @ 4.75% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-1 @ 4.46% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-2 @ 2.25% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 1.68%
1-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 17.16%

Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3am
Gameweek 8
Necaxa
1-1
Pachuca
Martinez (41')
Monreal (57'), Jurado (65')
Rondon (90+1' pen.)
Pedraza (36'), Micolta (56'), Rodriguez (65')
Oct 1, 2023 12am
Gameweek 10
Pachuca
1-1
Necaxa
Gonzalez (13')
Castillo (52'), Gonzalez (68'), Di Yorio (78'), Cabral (80')
Castillo (84')
Arce (20')
Batista (27'), Rodriguez (54'), Garnica (61'), Omar Cortes Alvarez (71'), Cortez (75')
Jan 30, 2023 1am
Gameweek 4
Pachuca
2-1
Necaxa
Jul 28, 2022 1am
Gameweek 5
Necaxa
2-0
Pachuca
Garnica (34'), Gimenez (48')
Garnica (26'), Villalpando (33'), Gimenez (40'), Garcia (45+2'), Oliveros (66')

Ibarra (45'), Cabral (66')
Feb 5, 2022 11pm
Gameweek 4
Necaxa
1-3
Pachuca
Batista (90+1')
Guede (9'), Gonzalez (45+2'), Medina (73'), Dominguez (79')
Ibarra (4'), Hurtado (10'), Ibanez (75' pen.)
Chavez (29'), Cabral (40'), Ibanez (58'), Gonzalez (85')
Sanchez (22'), Quintana (30')