Liga MX | Gameweek 17

Apr 29, 2024 at 1am UK

Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
2 - 5
Monterrey

Cambindo (59', 59'), Jurado (90+6', 90+6')
Mayorga (39'), Mayorga (39'), Fentanes (40'), Fentanes (40'), Gomez (74'), Arce (74'), Arce (76'), Arce (76')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Berterame (50', 50'), Canales (52', 52', 64', 64'), Gonzalez (81', 81'), Vazquez (86', 86')
Vegas (41'), Vegas (41'), Gomez (44'), Gomez (44')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Tigres 5-2 Necaxa
Sunday, April 21 at 2.05am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Monterrey

All competitions

Liga MX

Last Game: Columbus Crew 2-1 Monterrey
Thursday, April 25 at 1.15am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 50.15%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 25.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.53%) and 0-2 (8.89%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (7.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
Necaxa	Draw	Monterrey
25.11% ( -0.47)	24.73% ( 0.13)	50.15% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 52.79% (

-0.87)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.5% (

-0.93)

49.5% (

0.93)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.46% (

-0.85)

71.53% (

0.84)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.78% (

-0.9)

34.22% (

0.89)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.08% (

-0.97)

70.91% (

0.97)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.25% (

-0.23)

19.75% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.21% (

-0.38)

51.78% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Necaxa 25.11%

Monterrey 50.15%

Draw 24.72%

Necaxa	Draw	Monterrey
1-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 6.3% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 3.89% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.25% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 1.83% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 1.39% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.11%	1-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.76% ( 0.25) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( -0.13) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.72%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 0.34) 1-2 @ 9.53% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 8.89% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 5.16% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 4.81% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.09) 1-4 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.95% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.88% Total : 50.15%