Liga MX | Gameweek 15
Apr 13, 2024 at 4am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
2 - 0
Santos Laguna

Monreal (40', 40'), Samudio (55', 55')
Andrade (88'), Andrade (88')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Medina (78'), Medina (78')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Santos Laguna.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Tijuana 2-3 Necaxa
Saturday, April 6 at 4.10am in Liga MX
Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-1 America
Sunday, April 7 at 4.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santos Laguna win with a probability of 38.37%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 36.21% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Santos Laguna win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (6.22%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (8.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawSantos Laguna
36.21% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)25.42% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)38.37% (0.048999999999999 0.05)
Both teams to score 56.21% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.37% (0.045999999999999 0.05)47.63% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.17% (0.041999999999998 0.04)69.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.38% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)25.62% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.5%60.5% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Santos Laguna Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.57% (0.048000000000002 0.05)24.43% (-0.051000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.14% (0.067 0.07)58.86% (-0.073 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 36.21%
    Santos Laguna 38.37%
    Draw 25.42%
NecaxaDrawSantos Laguna
1-0 @ 8.52% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.18% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 5.8% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.71% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.62% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.26% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.47%
Total : 36.21%
1-1 @ 12.01%
0-0 @ 6.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.76% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-3 @ 1.23% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.42%
0-1 @ 8.82% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
1-2 @ 8.47% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-2 @ 6.22% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.92% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.71% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.4% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
0-4 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (0.003 0)
Other @ 1.88%
Total : 38.37%

Head to Head
Sep 25, 2023 3.05am
Gameweek 9
Santos Laguna
2-5
Necaxa
Preciado (70', 83' pen.)
Cervantes (65')
Andrade Rivera (32', 52'), Monreal (49'), Arce (64'), Pena (67')
Apr 1, 2023 2.05am
Sep 7, 2022 1.05am
Gameweek 13
Santos Laguna
3-1
Necaxa
Brunetta (45+1'), Medina (57'), Suarez (90+5')
Pena (79')
Jan 24, 2022 1am
Gameweek 3
Santos Laguna
1-4
Necaxa
Preciado (45+1')
Carrillo (19')
Escoboza (80')
Jul 24, 2021 1am