Liga MX | Gameweek 10

Mar 2, 2024 at 3am UK

Estadio de Mazatlan (Mazatlan)

Mazatlan
2 - 1
Necaxa

Montano (59', 59'), Del Prete (79', 79')
Montano (30'), Montano (30'), Flores (38'), Flores (38')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Garnica (60'), Cambindo (60')
Arce (36'), Arce (36'), Montes (40'), Montes (40'), Cambindo (90+1'), Cambindo (90+1')
Fentanes (31'), Fentanes (31'), Arce (39'), Arce (39')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Mazatlan and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mazatlan

All competitions

Last Game: Santos Laguna 1-0 Mazatlan
Monday, February 26 at 12am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Necaxa

All competitions

Last Game: Necaxa 1-1 Pachuca
Saturday, February 24 at 3am in Liga MX

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mazatlan win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 30.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mazatlan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.99%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mazatlan would win this match.

Result
Mazatlan	Draw	Necaxa
43.42% ( -0.11)	25.65% ( -0.03)	30.94% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 54.02% (

0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.17% (

0.18)

49.83% (

-0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.17% (

0.16)

71.83% (

-0.15)

Mazatlan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.14% (

0.03)

22.86% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.4% (

0.04)

56.59% (

-0.03)

Necaxa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.03% (

0.19)

29.97% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.92% (

0.22)

66.08% (

-0.22)

Score Analysis

Mazatlan 43.42%

Necaxa 30.94%

Draw 25.64%

Mazatlan	Draw	Necaxa
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 8.99% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.46% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 4.42% 3-0 @ 3.67% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.67% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.13% Total : 43.42%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.85% ( -0.05) 2-2 @ 5.42% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.64%	0-1 @ 8.26% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 7.34% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 30.94%