Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.94%) and 0-2 (7.17%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (8.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.06%).