Liga MX | Gameweek 6
Feb 11, 2024 at 3.10am UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
3 - 2
Pachuca

(3'), Gallardo (11', 11'), Cortizo (16', 16'), Berterame (48', 48')
Govea (83'), Govea (83')
FT(HT: 5-0)
Idrissi (79', 79'), Deossa (90+5', 90+5')
Idrissi (45+2'), Idrissi (45+2'), Adrian Sanchez Nava (68'), Sanchez (68')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Comunicaciones 1-4 Monterrey
Wednesday, February 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League

Pachuca

All competitions
Liga MX
Last Game: Pachuca 3-2 Club Leon
Thursday, February 8 at 3.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 56.54%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Pachuca had a probability of 20.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.88%) and 2-0 (9.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Pachuca win it was 0-1 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawPachuca
56.54% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)22.81% (0.041999999999998 0.04)20.64% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Both teams to score 53.32% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.9% (-0.175 -0.18)46.1% (0.178 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.6% (-0.167 -0.17)68.4% (0.169 0.17)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.91% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)16.09% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.51% (-0.137 -0.14)45.49% (0.139 0.14)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.54% (-0.10100000000001 -0.1)36.46% (0.102 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.75% (-0.104 -0.1)73.25% (0.10600000000001 0.11)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 56.54%
    Pachuca 20.64%
    Draw 22.81%
MonterreyDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 10.71% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.88% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-0 @ 9.79% (0.023 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.02% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-2 @ 3.04% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 2.75% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.72% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-2 @ 1.39% (-0.012 -0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (-0.008 -0.01)
5-0 @ 1% (-0.005 -0.01)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 56.54%
1-1 @ 10.81% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 5.87% (0.044 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 22.81%
0-1 @ 5.92% (0.028 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.46% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-2 @ 2.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.84% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.68% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 20.64%

Head to Head
Nov 5, 2023 3am
Gameweek 16
Pachuca
0-2
Monterrey

Almada (0'), Cabral (83'), Rodriguez (90+3')
Berterame (13'), Funes Mori (27')
Lopez (80')
Mar 13, 2023 1.05am
Gameweek 11
Pachuca
1-2
Monterrey
Hinestroza (3')
Gallardo (17'), Cortizo (53')
Oct 24, 2022 2.06am
Monterrey
0-1
Pachuca
Oct 21, 2022 3.06am
Pachuca
5-2
Monterrey
Ibanez (9', 87' pen., 90+2'), Ibarra (23'), De la Fuente (48')
Moreno (16'), Romo (42')
Oct 1, 2022 11.05pm
Gameweek 17
Monterrey
0-0
Pachuca