Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.