Liga MX | Gameweek 11
Mar 13, 2023 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
1 - 2
Monterrey

Hinestroza (3')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Gallardo (17'), Cortizo (53')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Monterrey.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

All competitions
Last Game: America 0-3 Pachuca
Sunday, March 5 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Monterrey

All competitions
Last Game: Monterrey 3-0 Juarez
Sunday, March 5 at 1.10am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 42.1%. A win for Monterrey had a probability of 32.28% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (7.12%). The likeliest Monterrey win was 0-1 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.

Result
PachucaDrawMonterrey
42.1% (-0.79900000000001 -0.8)25.62% (-0.114 -0.11)32.28% (0.912 0.91)
Both teams to score 54.68% (0.731 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.77% (0.78700000000001 0.79)49.23% (-0.786 -0.79)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.71% (0.705 0.7)71.29% (-0.702 -0.7)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.76% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)23.24% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.85% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)57.15% (0.069000000000003 0.07)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.23% (0.997 1)28.77% (-0.996 -1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.39% (1.225 1.23)64.61% (-1.223 -1.22)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 42.1%
    Monterrey 32.28%
    Draw 25.61%
PachucaDrawMonterrey
1-0 @ 9.76% (-0.324 -0.32)
2-1 @ 8.87% (-0.063000000000001 -0.06)
2-0 @ 7.12% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-1 @ 4.32% (-0.037 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.127 -0.13)
3-2 @ 2.69% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-0 @ 1.26% (-0.048 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.98% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 42.1%
1-1 @ 12.15% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 6.68% (-0.218 -0.22)
2-2 @ 5.53% (0.113 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.12% (0.051 0.05)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.61%
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.57% (0.165 0.17)
0-2 @ 5.19% (0.12 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.15% (0.153 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.108 0.11)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.108 0.11)
1-4 @ 0.98% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 32.28%

Head to Head
Oct 24, 2022 2.06am
Monterrey
0-1
Pachuca
Hurtado (90+4' pen.)
Luna (59')
Oct 21, 2022 3.06am
Pachuca
5-2
Monterrey
Ibanez (9', 87' pen., 90+2'), Ibarra (23'), De la Fuente (48')
Moreno (16'), Romo (42')
Kranevitter (4')
Oct 1, 2022 11.05pm
Monterrey
0-0
Pachuca

Kranevitter (41')
Apr 23, 2022 11pm
Pachuca
3-0
Monterrey
Chavez (17', 75'), De la Rosa (71')
Alvarez (45+4'), Ibarra (53')

Campbell (70'), Meza (90+3')
Aug 15, 2021 3.06am
Monterrey
3-1
Pachuca
Funes Mori (36' pen., 80'), Meza (74')
Janssen (90+4')
Moreno (52')