Liga MX | Gameweek 8
Feb 18, 2023 at 11.06pm UK
Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Monterrey
2 - 1
Necaxa

Funes Mori (60'), Berterame (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Mendez (73' pen.)
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Monterrey and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monterrey 2-0 Queretaro
Thursday, February 16 at 1.05am in Liga MX
Last Game: Necaxa 3-1 Pumas
Thursday, February 16 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 64.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 13.46%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.29%) and 2-1 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.07%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result
MonterreyDrawNecaxa
64.98% (0.013999999999996 0.01)21.57% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)13.46% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 42.78% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.39% (0.028000000000006 0.03)52.61% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.74% (0.023999999999997 0.02)74.26% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Monterrey Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (0.015000000000001 0.02)15.51% (-0.011000000000001 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (0.025999999999996 0.03)44.41% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
50.63% (0.012 0.01)49.37% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
15.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)84.22% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monterrey 64.97%
    Necaxa 13.46%
    Draw 21.57%
MonterreyDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 14.27%
2-0 @ 13.29% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.39% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-0 @ 8.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.83% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 3.85% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 2.72% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.06% (0.0019999999999998 0)
5-0 @ 1.44% (0.002 0)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 0.96% (0.001 0)
Other @ 1.9%
Total : 64.97%
1-1 @ 10.07%
0-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.31% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 0.53%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 5.4% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
1-2 @ 3.56% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 1.91% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 13.46%

Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 3am
Necaxa
1-2
Monterrey
Garnica (37')
Gimenez (27'), Pena (84')
Aguirre (56'), Gonzalez (77')
Aguirre (32'), Ortiz (58')
Jan 15, 2022 3am
Necaxa
0-4
Monterrey

Salas (49')
Funes Mori (4'), Meza (23'), Vergara (44'), Gallardo (67')
Vegas (25'), Vergara (60')
Oct 23, 2021 11.06pm
Monterrey
0-1
Necaxa

Gutierrez (55')
Aguirre (90+10')
Aguirre (22'), Oliveros (48'), Escoboza (63')
Feb 20, 2021 1.30am
Necaxa
1-1
Monterrey
Barragan (80')
Gonzalez (86')
Meza (36')
Kranevitter (62')
Aug 16, 2020 3.06am
Monterrey
1-1
Necaxa
Pabon (59')
Sanchez (45')

Chavez (30')
rhs 2.0


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