Feb 6, 2023 1.10am

2

1

HT : 2 0

FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Alfonso Gonzalez 17'
Alfonso Gonzalez 31'

Maximiliano Araujo 62'

Monterrey vs Toluca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Monterrey

All competitions

W
W
W
L
L
L

Liga MX

W
W
W
L
L
L

Last game

Jan 28, 2023 1.05am

Puebla 1 - 2 Monterrey

Goals scored

35

Top scorer

Rogelio Funes Mori

Toluca

All competitions

D
D
W
D
L
L

Liga MX

D
D
W
D
L
L

Last game

Feb 2, 2023 2.05am

Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca

Goals scored

34

Top scorer

Carlos Gonzalez

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 62.86%. A draw had a probability of 21.8% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 15.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.08%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.31%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (5.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.

Result

Monterrey 62.86% ▼ (-0.64)

Draw 21.76% ▲ (+0.47)

Toluca 15.38% ▲ (+0.18)

Both Teams to Score:

46.78% ▼ (-0.99)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.25% ▼ (-1.55)

Under 2.5 49.75% ▲ (+1.56)

Over 3.5 28.24% ▼ (-1.41)

Under 3.5 71.76% ▲ (+1.41)

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5 84.76% ▼ (-0.71)

Under 0.5 15.24% ▲ (+0.72)

Over 1.5 56.09% ▼ (-1.36)

Under 1.5 43.91% ▲ (+1.36)

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 55.2% ▼ (-0.70)

Under 0.5 44.8% ▲ (+0.71)

Over 1.5 19.22% ▼ (-0.57)

Under 1.5 80.78% ▲ (+0.57)

Score analysis

Monterrey 62.86%

Draw 21.75%

Toluca 15.38%

Monterrey

1-0 @ 12.84% ▲ (+0.49)

2-0 @ 12.08% ▲ (+0.17)

2-1 @ 9.7% ▼ (-0.06)

3-0 @ 7.58% ▼ (-0.09)

3-1 @ 6.08% ▼ (-0.20)

4-0 @ 3.56% ▼ (-0.14)

4-1 @ 2.86% ▼ (-0.17)

3-2 @ 2.44% ▼ (-0.13)

5-0 @ 1.34% ▼ (-0.09)

4-2 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.10)

5-1 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.10)

Other @ 2.14%

Total : 62.86%

Draw

1-1 @ 10.31% ▲ (+0.21)

0-0 @ 6.83% ▲ (+0.43)

2-2 @ 3.9% ▼ (-0.11)

Other @ 0.72%

Total : 21.75%

Toluca

0-1 @ 5.48% ▲ (+0.24)

1-2 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.01)

0-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.06)

1-3 @ 1.11% ▼ (-0.03)

2-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.05)

Other @ 1.41%

Total : 15.38%

Head to Head

Aug 18, 2022 1.00am

1

1

HT : 1 0

FT

Leonardo Fernandez 27'
Leonardo Fernandez 38'
Haret Ortega 59'

Sebastian Vegas 23'
Jacobo Reyes Murillo 31'
Jacobo Reyes 31'
Rodrigo Aguirre 71'
Maximiliano Meza 73'

Apr 7, 2022 1.00am

2

2

HT : 1 2

FT

Valber Huerta 12'
Leonardo Fernandez 30'
Haret Ortega 42'
Alan Rodriguez 88'
Alan Rodriguez 89'
Leonardo Fernandez 90'+9'
Leonardo Fernandez 90'+10'

Maximiliano Meza 13'
Sebastian Vegas 29'
Joel Campbell 36'
Vincent Janssen 45'+2'
Erick Aguirre 90'+6'
Cesar Montes 90'+9'

Sep 23, 2021 1.06am

2

0

HT : 1 0

FT

Jesus Gallardo 41'
Rogelio Funes Mori 74'
Esteban Andrada 77'
Sebastian Vegas 89'

Rolando Hernan Cristante Mandarino 33'
Hernan Cristante 33'
Haret Ortega 40'
Diego Rigonato Rodrigues 86'
Felipe Pardo 90'+3'
Raul Lopez 90'+4'

Apr 11, 2021 6.00pm

1

2

HT : 0 0

FT

Jorge Torres 38'
Alexis Canelo 66'
Jorge Torres 71'

Sebastian Vegas 51'
Maximiliano Meza 60'

Jul 29, 2020 1.00am

3

1

HT : 3 0

FT Estadio BBVA Bancomer

Dorlan Pabon 3'
Rogelio Funes Mori 20'
Oscar Talancon 29'
Carlos Rodriguez 29'
Jesus Gallardo 32'
Stefan Medina 35'
Miguel Layun 76'
Rogelio Funes Mori 85'

Gaston Sauro 19'
Alan Medina Camacho 46'
Alan Medina 46'
Carlos Cisneros 75'

Feb 29, 2020 1.00am

2

0

HT : 0 0

FT

William da Silva 33'
Leonardo Fernandez 63'
Michael Estrada 78'

Vincent Janssen 74'
Nicolas Sanchez 87'
Jose Maria Basanta 90'

Form Data

Puebla 1 - 2 Monterrey

Monterrey 3 - 1 Atletico San Luis

Cruz Azul 2 - 3 Monterrey

River Plate 1 - 0 Monterrey

Monterrey 0 - 1 Guadalajara

Monterrey 0 - 1 Pachuca

Atlas 0 - 0 Toluca

Toluca 0 - 0 Club Leon

Guadalajara 1 - 2 Toluca

Toluca 2 - 2 America

Pachuca 3 - 1 Toluca

Toluca 1 - 5 Pachuca