Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 53.35%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for Toluca had a probability of 22.19%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Toluca win it was 0-1 (7.03%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.