Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monterrey win with a probability of 63.9%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 14.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monterrey win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.06%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (5.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Monterrey would win this match.