Liga MX | Gameweek 16
Aug 26, 2022 at 1.05am UK
Estadio Hidalgo

Pachuca
3 - 1
Atlas

Ibanez (62' pen.), Chavez (75', 75'), Lopez (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Herrera (67')
Santamaria (62')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pachuca and Atlas.

Form, Standings, Stats

Pachuca

Last Six:
Last Game: Pachuca 1-0 Club Leon
Monday, August 22 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Atlas

Last Six:
Last Game: Atlas 1-1 Puebla
Sunday, August 21 at 1.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 53.13%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Atlas had a probability of 21.68%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (9.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.89%), while for an Atlas win it was 0-1 (7.5%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Pachuca would win this match.

Result
PachucaDrawAtlas
53.13% (-0.159 -0.16)25.18% (0.062000000000001 0.06)21.68% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Both teams to score 47.6% (-0.055 -0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.58% (-0.136 -0.14)54.42% (0.132 0.13)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.21% (-0.111 -0.11)75.79% (0.11 0.11)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.52% (-0.12 -0.12)20.48% (0.117 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.04% (-0.188 -0.19)52.95% (0.184 0.18)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.86% (0.021000000000001 0.02)40.14% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.22% (0.018000000000001 0.02)76.77% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Pachuca 53.12%
    Atlas 21.68%
    Draw 25.18%
PachucaDrawAtlas
1-0 @ 13.03% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 10.33% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.43% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.46% (-0.031 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.99% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.28% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.98% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.9% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 53.12%
1-1 @ 11.89% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.22% (0.042 0.04)
2-2 @ 4.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 25.18%
0-1 @ 7.5% (0.044 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.43% (0.015 0.01)
0-2 @ 3.43% (0.022 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.65% (0.006 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.04% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.32%
Total : 21.68%

Head to Head
May 30, 2022 2.10am
Pachuca
2-1
Atlas
Ibarra (7'), Ibanez (45+9')
Aceves (37'), Alvarez (57'), Murillo (90+1'), Chavez (90+6')
Furch (45' pen.)
Rocha (40'), Reyes (45+4'), Vargas (45+8')
Chala (82')
May 27, 2022 3am
Atlas
2-0
Pachuca
Reyes (26'), Quinones (90+3')
Chala (58'), Rocha (70'), Furch (76')

Cabral (70'), Sanchez (90+6')
Mar 3, 2022 1am
Atlas
0-1
Pachuca

Abella (39'), Rocha (73')
Torres (45+2')
De la Rosa (87')
Tapias (2'), Alvarez (81')
Aug 10, 2021 3am
Pachuca
0-1
Atlas

Sosa (30'), Catalan (33'), Moreno (80'), Hurtado (86')
Furch (5')
Torres (78')
Feb 16, 2021 3am
Pachuca
0-1
Atlas

Murillo (30')
Malcorra (31' pen.)
Rocha (15'), Marquez (75')
rhs 2.0


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