Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 15.33%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.