Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Jul 27, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
1 - 2
Tijuana

Nervo (6')
(58'), Aguilera (58'), Barbosa (76'), Reyes (82')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Rodriguez (40'), Ibarra (45')
Guzman (3'), Orozco (69'), Juan Vazquez (70'), Orozco (71'), Diaz (84')
Diaz (90+2')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Club Tijuana.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 61.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Club Tijuana had a probability of 15.33%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.93%) and 2-1 (9.23%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.85%), while for a Club Tijuana win it was 0-1 (6.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood.

Result
AtlasDrawClub Tijuana
61.1% (1.312 1.31)23.57% (-0.494 -0.49)15.33% (-0.814 -0.81)
Both teams to score 41.69% (-0.324 -0.32)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.4% (0.504 0.5)56.6% (-0.5 -0.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.43% (0.405 0.41)77.57% (-0.402 -0.4)
Atlas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.75% (0.675 0.67)18.25% (-0.671 -0.67)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.7% (1.134 1.13)49.3% (-1.13 -1.13)
Club Tijuana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51% (-0.822 -0.82)49% (0.826 0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.05% (-0.593 -0.59)83.96% (0.59699999999999 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Atlas 61.09%
    Club Tijuana 15.33%
    Draw 23.57%
AtlasDrawClub Tijuana
1-0 @ 15.21% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-0 @ 12.93% (0.3 0.3)
2-1 @ 9.23% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 7.34% (0.325 0.33)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.113 0.11)
4-0 @ 3.12% (0.202 0.2)
4-1 @ 2.23% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
5-0 @ 1.06% (0.09 0.09)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 61.09%
1-1 @ 10.85% (-0.23 -0.23)
0-0 @ 8.94% (-0.173 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.29% (-0.077 -0.08)
Other @ 0.48%
Total : 23.57%
0-1 @ 6.38% (-0.278 -0.28)
1-2 @ 3.87% (-0.177 -0.18)
0-2 @ 2.28% (-0.155 -0.16)
1-3 @ 0.92% (-0.065 -0.07)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 15.33%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 3.06am
Tijuana
2-0
Atlas
Ruiz (13'), Rivera (20')
Ruiz (54')

Santamaria (42')
Santamaria (83')
Oct 29, 2021 1am
Atlas
0-2
Tijuana

Barbosa (68'), Zaldivar (88')
Manotas (35', 77')
Angulo (27'), Ortiz (60'), Castillo (78')
Apr 4, 2021 12am
Atlas
1-0
Tijuana
Ibarra (11')
Santamaria (37'), Malcorra (62')

Pavez (10'), Jara (77'), Sornoza (90+5')
Jul 26, 2020 3am
Tijuana
3-1
Atlas
Bolanos (12'), Cortizo (50'), Nervo (90+5' og.)
Bolanos (76'), Nahuelpan (90+2')
Acosta (21')
Acosta (34'), Vargas (89')
Vazquez (60')
Feb 1, 2020 3am
Atlas
2-1
Tijuana
Acosta (30'), Correa (88')
Jeraldino (37'), Reyes (54')
Sanvezzo (63' pen.)
Rivera (65')
Cruz (77')