Liga MX | Gameweek 3

Jul 16, 2022 at 11pm UK

Estadio Jalisco

Atlas
3 - 2
Cruz Azul

Herrera (10'), Marquez (70'), Quinones (82')
Santamaria (28')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gimenez (21'), Tabo (86')
Rodriguez (45+1'), Lira (45+7'), Escobar (66'), Tabo (76')
Rotondi (45+5')

Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Atlas and Cruz Azul.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlas win with a probability of 39.4%. A draw had a probability of 30.3% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 30.26%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlas win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.99%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.42%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (12.13%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atlas would win this match.

Result
Atlas	Draw	Cruz Azul
39.4% ( 0.21)	30.34% ( 0.09)	30.26% ( -0.3)

Both teams to score 40.54% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

33.35% (

-0.32)

66.65% (

0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.97% (

-0.22)

85.03% (

0.21)

Atlas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.94% (

-0.04)

33.06% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.35% (

-0.04)

69.65% (

0.04)

Cruz Azul Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.57% (

-0.41)

39.43% (

0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.87% (

-0.39)

76.12% (

0.38)

Score Analysis

Atlas 39.39%

Cruz Azul 30.25%

Draw 30.33%

Atlas	Draw	Cruz Azul
1-0 @ 14.42% ( 0.15) 2-0 @ 7.99% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.59% Total : 39.39%	1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 13.03% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 3.46% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.42% Total : 30.33%	0-1 @ 12.13% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.25% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 5.65% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.75% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.47% Total : 30.25%