Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.