Liga MX | Gameweek 5
Jul 28, 2022 at 1am UK
Estadio Victoria

Necaxa
2 - 0
Pachuca

Garnica (34'), Gimenez (48')
Garnica (26'), Villalpando (33'), Gimenez (40'), Garcia (45+2'), Oliveros (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Marchand (19'), Ibarra (45'), Cabral (66')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Pachuca.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

Last Six:
Last Game: Necaxa 1-0 Juarez
Saturday, July 23 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Pachuca

Last Six:
Last Game: Pachuca 0-0 Pumas
Monday, July 25 at 1am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pachuca win with a probability of 41.13%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 31.72% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pachuca win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.51%) and 0-2 (7.55%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 1-0 (9.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
NecaxaDrawPachuca
31.72% (-0.345 -0.34)27.15% (0.073 0.07)41.13% (0.271 0.27)
Both teams to score 49.63% (-0.337 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.37% (-0.374 -0.37)55.63% (0.372 0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.22% (-0.307 -0.31)76.79% (0.306 0.31)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.63% (-0.432 -0.43)32.37% (0.432 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.12% (-0.491 -0.49)68.89% (0.489 0.49)
Pachuca Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)26.61% (0.026999999999997 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)61.84% (0.034000000000006 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 31.72%
    Pachuca 41.12%
    Draw 27.15%
NecaxaDrawPachuca
1-0 @ 9.72% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.25% (-0.073 -0.07)
2-0 @ 5.48% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 2.73% (-0.06 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.06% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.81% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 31.72%
1-1 @ 12.86% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.62% (0.123 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.8% (-0.052 -0.05)
Other @ 0.88%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 11.4% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.51% (0.0089999999999986 0.01)
0-2 @ 7.55% (0.097 0.1)
1-3 @ 3.76% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 3.33% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.24%
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 41.12%

Head to Head
Feb 5, 2022 11pm
Necaxa
1-3
Pachuca
Batista (90+1')
Guede (9'), Gonzalez (45+2'), Medina (73'), Dominguez (79')
Ibarra (4'), Hurtado (10'), Ibanez (75' pen.)
Chavez (29'), Cabral (40'), Ibanez (58'), Gonzalez (85')
Sanchez (22'), Quintana (30')
Sep 24, 2021 3am
Pachuca
1-0
Necaxa
Hurtado (15')
Hurtado (30'), Hernandez (75'), Chavez (90+3')

Meza (44'), Poggi (67'), Formiliano (90+3')
Mar 5, 2021 1am
Necaxa
2-2
Pachuca
Zendejas (5'), Salas (48')
Delgado (78'), Cabrera (85')
Nurse (19'), Quiroga (84')
Garcia (4'), Hernandez (51')
Nov 7, 2020 11pm
Pachuca
0-1
Necaxa

Gomez (5'), Ortega (45'), Murillo (89')
Cabrera (90+2')
Bilbao (74'), Baeza (80')
Apr 19, 2020 1am
Pachuca
P-P
Necaxa