Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Necaxa had a probability of 32.97% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.1%) and 2-0 (7.31%). The likeliest Necaxa win was 0-1 (10.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.