Liga MX | Gameweek 4
Jul 23, 2022 at 3.05am UK
Estadio Victoria de Aguascalientes

Necaxa
1 - 0
Juarez

Batista (36')
Mendez (21'), Gimenez (43'), Esquivel (59'), Poggi (90+1'), Malagon (90+5')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Acosta (45+1'), Salas (70')
Acosta (80')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Necaxa and Juarez.

Form, Standings, Stats

Necaxa

Last Six:
Last Game: Pumas 1-0 Necaxa
Sunday, July 17 at 6pm in Liga MX

Juarez

Last Six:
Last Game: Juarez 1-1 Queretaro
Saturday, July 16 at 3.05am in Liga MX

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 18.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Necaxa in this match.

Result
NecaxaDrawJuarez
54.79% (-0.216 -0.22)26.39% (0.224 0.22)18.81% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 40.66% (-0.544 -0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.52% (-0.713 -0.71)61.47% (0.712 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.65% (-0.532 -0.53)81.35% (0.533 0.53)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.31% (-0.39399999999999 -0.39)22.69% (0.393 0.39)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.66% (-0.588 -0.59)56.34% (0.588 0.59)
Juarez Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.59% (-0.434 -0.43)47.41% (0.434 0.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.2% (-0.327 -0.33)82.8% (0.327 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Necaxa 54.78%
    Juarez 18.81%
    Draw 26.38%
NecaxaDrawJuarez
1-0 @ 15.95% (0.24 0.24)
2-0 @ 11.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 8.83% (-0.08 -0.08)
3-0 @ 5.85% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
3-1 @ 4.37% (-0.092 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.17% (-0.044 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.63% (-0.054 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.62% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.53%
Total : 54.78%
1-1 @ 11.9% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 10.75% (0.28 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.3% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 0.43%
Total : 26.38%
0-1 @ 8.03% (0.115 0.11)
1-2 @ 4.44% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-2 @ 3% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 18.81%

Head to Head
Jan 8, 2022 1am
Juarez
2-1
Necaxa
Rolan (2', 57')
Alvarado (18'), Acosta (63'), Gomez (83'), Esquivel (90+3'), Garcia (90+6'), Olivera (90+9')
Alvarado (47' og.)
Zendejas (23'), Villalpando (35'), Malagon (48'), Oliveros (90+10')
Malagon (50')
Aug 23, 2021 1am
Necaxa
1-0
Juarez
Arcadio Garcia Banuelos (84')
Mar 20, 2021 1am
Necaxa
1-0
Juarez
Gonzalez (90+3')
Pereira (53'), Salas (66')

Marin (36'), Pavez (67'), Velazquez (75'), Rubio (84')
Aug 1, 2020 3.30am
Juarez
1-0
Necaxa
Castillo (60')
Feb 10, 2020 2am
Juarez
2-1
Necaxa
Velazquez (39'), Rabunal (48')
Lopez (90')
Baeza (30')
Alvarez (32'), Chavez (35'), Alvarado (55')
rhs 2.0


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