Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Necaxa win with a probability of 54.79%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Juarez had a probability of 18.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Necaxa win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.83%) and 2-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Juarez win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Necaxa in this match.