Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Queretaro win with a probability of 36.58%. A win for Juarez had a probability of 34.39% and a draw had a probability of 29%.
The most likely scoreline for a Queretaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.55%) and 0-2 (6.96%). The likeliest Juarez win was 1-0 (11.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.