Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.