Liga MX | Gameweek 3
Jul 17, 2022 at 6pm UK
Estadio OlĂ­mpico de Universitario

Pumas
1 - 0
Necaxa

Aldrete (18')
Meritao (42')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Gimenez (45+2'), Villalpando (52'), Cardona (84')
Coverage of the Liga MX clash between Pumas and Necaxa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pumas win with a probability of 45.69%. A draw had a probability of 27.5% and a win for Necaxa had a probability of 26.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pumas win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.84%), while for a Necaxa win it was 0-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Pumas in this match.

Result
PumasDrawNecaxa
45.69% (0.503 0.5)27.5% (-0.123 -0.12)26.81% (-0.386 -0.39)
Both teams to score 46.12% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.12% (0.213 0.21)58.87% (-0.219 -0.22)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.62% (0.165 0.16)79.37% (-0.17 -0.17)
Pumas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.26% (0.349 0.35)25.74% (-0.353 -0.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.32% (0.473 0.47)60.67% (-0.48 -0.48)
Necaxa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.11% (-0.207 -0.21)37.89% (0.203 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.33% (-0.201 -0.2)74.66% (0.19600000000001 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Pumas 45.68%
    Necaxa 26.81%
    Draw 27.5%
PumasDrawNecaxa
1-0 @ 13.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.98% (0.107 0.11)
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.055 0.05)
3-0 @ 4.06% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.94% (0.064 0.06)
3-2 @ 1.91% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.38% (0.044 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.34% (0.035 0.04)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 45.68%
1-1 @ 12.84% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.75% (-0.081 -0.08)
2-2 @ 4.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 0.67%
Total : 27.5%
0-1 @ 9.47% (-0.131 -0.13)
1-2 @ 6.23% (-0.058000000000001 -0.06)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.089 -0.09)
1-3 @ 2.02% (-0.03 -0.03)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.037 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.65%
Total : 26.81%

Head to Head
Mar 19, 2022 11pm
Pumas
1-3
Necaxa
Diogo (69')
Meritao (72')
Medina (20'), Aguirre (28' pen., 61')
Villalpando (31'), Gonzalez (33'), Garcia (37'), Dominguez (55')
Aug 18, 2021 3am
Necaxa
3-0
Pumas
Escoboza (36'), Zendejas (72' pen.), Aguirre (90+3')

Mozo (89'), Velarde (90+5')
Apr 10, 2021 1.30am
Necaxa
0-1
Pumas

Dominguez (21'), Delgado (69')
Vigon (82')
Dinenno (13'), Freire (30')
Sep 27, 2020 1am
Pumas
1-1
Necaxa
Dinenno (75')
Mozo (58'), Freire (70')
Alvarez (14')
Cabrera (16')
Arce (9'), Martin Sandoval Zavala (60'), Pereira (80'), Bilbao (84')
Apr 26, 2020 11pm